行情在向不健康的方向发展
此轮行情,始于对银行股的抄底,外资可能是最先动手的。没有直接证据,我也不可能掌握这些,是从公开的资料中作出的朦胧判断。我对QFII的投资理念非常认同,国内基金不靠谱,原因很复杂,机制不健康,规则不健康,从业人员也不健康。此轮行情,我认为是估值修复型的,银行股涨了50%,但仍不算贵。不过,随着指数上涨,题材股、垃圾股重新活跃,涨幅巨大,这又走上老路。好了伤疤忘了疼,这些凶猛的敢死队和盲目跟风追涨杀跌的散户不死绝了,A股难言正常。中航重机已经翻倍了,这很荒唐,根本没有实质性的支撑,政治家在钓鱼岛挠痒痒而已。一旦真出事,那股市就遭殃了,还买什么股票啊?从去年底开始,一口气上来,明显的逼空行情,始终没有调整,未来会有激烈的震荡,悬念在于什么时候、震荡多久、幅度多大,这些都是无法预测的。我认为,两会前应该没有什么大消息出来,低估的年报业绩有支撑,并且分红不错的蓝筹股,如果前期涨幅不明显,可能有表现的机会。至少,风险不大。比如,大秦铁路。
祝老头按自己的感觉走,稳步发财!!!
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